Common writing paces
The table below details how long an 80,000 word draft takes at each pace, assuming five writing days a week.
| Words a writing day | Writing days | At 5 days a week | What it feels like |
|---|---|---|---|
| 250 | 320 | 64 weeks | A paragraph or two. Sustainable more or less forever. |
| 500 | 160 | 32 weeks | A common target for writers with a day job. |
| 750 | 107 | 21 weeks | A steady pace that still leaves the evening intact. |
| 1,000 | 80 | 16 weeks | The classic daily goal. Ambitious but keepable. |
| 1,667 | 48 | 10 weeks | The NaNoWriMo pace: 50,000 words in 30 days. |
| 2,000 | 40 | 8 weeks | A full-time writing pace. |
| 3,000 | 27 | 5 weeks | Sprint territory. Hard to hold for months. |
| 5,000 | 16 | 3 weeks | A drafting binge, not a plan. |
How long a novel really takes
The arithmetic above is the optimistic version, because it assumes every writing day happens as planned. Most first drafts take somewhere between six months and two years.
Remember: a draft that takes fourteen months instead of four months is still a completed draft. The writers who finish drafts are the ones who come back after slumps, writer's block, or changes to their writing schedule.
Let's not forget about revisions. Drafting is usually about half the work, maybe slightly more. Budget roughly the same amount of time for revision as the draft itself took, and probably longer if this is your first novel. A calculator that says sixteen weeks is describing sixteen weeks of drafting, not sixteen weeks to a finished book.
Choosing a pace you can keep
The best daily target you can set for yourself is the one that you can maintain in week one and in week twenty. Hint: this target is almost always smaller than the one you initially have in mind.
Set the floor, not the ceiling. A target of 500 words that you can achieve most days does more for your draft than a target of 2,000 that you hit twice and then start avoiding. Nothing stops you from writing more on a day that is going well.
Pick your days honestly. Three writing days a week is a real schedule. Seven is a wish. The calculator above asks for writing days per week rather than assuming every calendar day is a writing day for exactly this reason.
Recalculate instead of trying to play catch-up. When you miss a few days or a week, the temptation is to double the target until you catch up to your original output goal. What is more likely is that one missed week will snowball into a stalled draft. Put your real word count back in, keep the pace, and target the new date.